Bracketology 2010 NCAA Women's Tournament

[jacks1]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

But there's not a whole lot of difference between playing a 2 seed and playing a 4 seed in the first round.

I don't know about that. In WBB a #2 seed is going to be significantly better than a #4 seed....IMHO

[rabidrabbit]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

Yes a 2 seed is likely to be a champion of a BCS conference, or whoever is #2 to UConn in BEast. 3-5 is likely to be #2 or #3 seed in the same conferences. Jacks did pretty well vs Baylor last year, and could possibly hit a match-up that would suit Jacks strengths well this year.

I hope wherever they play that a good contingent of Jacks backers can attend.

[RabbitNation]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

I don't know about that. In WBB a #2 seed is going to be significantly better than a #4 seed....IMHO

I agree, that is like playing the #5 team in the nation or playing the #16 in the nation, team terms #2 seed Tennessee or a #4 seed like Kentucky. Big difference, between the top 10 teams in the nation and 11-25 ranked. We are able to compete everynight with anyone not in the Top 10.

[jackrabbit1979]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

But there's not a whole lot of difference between playing a 2 seed and playing a 4 seed in the first round. At least we (very probably) won't get fed to UConn or have to play at Tennessee or Stanford our first game.

Both will be challenging games obviously, but I think the difference between playing a 2 seed and a 4 seed in WBB is pretty substantial.

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncw/rankings

Even if you just look at the AP rankings linked above...the 5-8 ranked teams (likely 2 seeds at tourney time) have a combined 17 losses and a good number of those 17 came against each other or UCONN. The 13-16 ranked teams (likely 4 seeds) have 30 combined losses. Like somebody else mentioned, I think UCONN is in a class of its own, and then there is a tier of about 8-10 teams that are very similar, and then another level of teams after that. A 14 seed would likely match us up with that third level, which would make the likelihood of an upset much more possible.

[22jack]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

I think the main thing that would be good to avoid is playing someone on there home court, like Notre Dame at Notre Dame.

I would rather be a 16 seed playing Nebraska in Mpls than the above.

[RabbitNation]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

I would like to see #5 Xavier, #8 West Virginia, #14 Iowa State not scared of Norte Dame either, except playing on home court. Nebraska for that matter has really only one player. Nebraska will not win the BIG 12 championship, they will lose to someoneout ofthe south and could lose a #1 seed to Tennessee.

We can compete! When the 3 ball is dropping we have ability to blow people out.

[bigticket1]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

I think the main thing that would be good to avoid is playing someone on there home court, like Notre Dame at Notre Dame.

I would rather be a 16 seed playing Nebraska in Mpls than the above.

A pretty average Minnesota team went into South Bend a year ago and beat the Irish in the first round.

[filbert]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

I think the main thing that would be good to avoid is playing someone on there home court, like Notre Dame at Notre Dame.

I would rather be a 16 seed playing Nebraska in Mpls than the above.

I agree about the desirability of dropping to a 16 and playing Nebraska (or getting them as a 15 if they lose their conference tournament) in Minneapolis.

Especially, dropping to a 16 would be a bit of an insult that I'd hope the ladies would take personally, and while Nebraska would bring a good crowd to Mpls, SDSU would I daresay make a pretty good showing there, as well.

Given the Summit League tournament attendance figures, the committee just might try to figure out a way to get SDSU into Minneapolis or Ames, although Iowa State backs their women's team pretty well--which might make them lean towards Minneapolis--but it would be much easier to put SDSU there if Nebraska was to slip up in their tournament and give the committee a reason (excuse) to drop them to a #2. (Stream-of-consciousness sentence there. Sorry.) If that happened, and they drew SDSU in the first round, and I were a Huskers fan, I would be LIVID, though.

[Chains]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

I think the main thing that would be good to avoid is playing someone on there home court, like Notre Dame at Notre Dame.

I would rather be a 16 seed playing Nebraska in Mpls than the above.

I stronly agree. I would much rather play a higher seed 1 or 2 like Nebraska on a neutral court (mnpls) than a 2 or 3 seed like Iowa State in Ames on their home court. Neither would be by any stretch of the imagination an easy task. Put me on a neutral court with someone and I will take my chances ie, last year vs Baylor on a neutral floor.

Where would the games be played in mnpls? Target, dome, williams?

GBGBGJ

[jackmd]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

I stronly agree. I would much rather play a higher seed 1 or 2 like Nebraska on a neutral court (mnpls) than a 2 or 3 seed like Iowa State in Ames on their home court. Neither would be by any stretch of the imagination an easy task. Put me on a neutral court with someone and I will take my chances ie, last year vs Baylor on a neutral floor.

Where would the games be played in mnpls? Target, dome, williams?

GBGBGJ

Williams Arena.

[Chains]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

Williams Arena.

A familiar place. Advantage Jacks.

GBGBGJ

[boxerboy]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

A pretty average Minnesota team went into South Bend a year ago and beat the Irish in the first round.

I agree, Notre Dame has improved but they are beatable.

[22jack]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

A pretty average Minnesota team went into South Bend a year ago and beat the Irish in the first round.

True, it can be done. I just think it would be a little harder. Nothing worth having comes easy though.

[jacks nl]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

Based on who's already won conference tournaments and who's likely to win (using Sagarin), we're a natural #14 seed. The committee has the flexibility to move teams one line, so we could go up to a #13 or down to a #15. If there are a few more major upsets in tournaments, we could possibly sneak up to a natural #13 (with therefore a 12 to a 14 possible committee seed), but it's not likely.

The Gonzaga and MTSU wins in pocket, and the 11-1 record in our last 12 games (which is what the committee also looks at) are pluses for SDSU which might cause the committee to move us up a line. Our overall record, and the weak general reputation of the Summit League are minuses that might move us down.

But there's not a whole lot of difference between playing a 2 seed and playing a 4 seed in the first round. At least we (very probably) won't get fed to UConn or have to play at Tennessee or Stanford our first game.

Here are the auto bids so far according to yahoo with there sagrins rating

East Tennessee State (23-8) 127 Atlantic Sun
Austin Peay (15-17) 262 Ohio Valley
Princeton (26-2) * 38 Ivy League
Marist (26-7) 80 Metro Atlantic Athletic
Duke (27-5) 6 Atlantic Coast
Ohio State (30-4) 8 Big Ten
Tennessee (30-2) 4 Southeastern
Gonzaga (27-4) 19 West Coast
Chattanooga (24-8) 121 Southern
Xavier (27-3) 14 Atlantic 10
Middle Tennessee (25-5) 34 Sun Belt
South Dakota State (22-10) 96 Summit League
Connecticut (33-0) ? Big East

[filbert]

Re: Rabbit Bracketology

Possible first-round SDSU opponent Nebraska is up one to Kansas State at the half in the Big 12 tournament 27-26.