Re: Fall Practice
The problem with choosing a preseason favorite is the conclusion is based mostly off information gathered from the previous season (win/lose record, returning players), with the rest being projection based off the affect of losing a player(s)' production has on the team, the ability of the current roster to pick up/exceed the lost production, and development of certain players on the current roster.
History generally is a safer bet than projections, as it means there are less questions going into the season. Oral Roberts has less questions going into the season because they basically return all their starters plus a productive player they lost early in the previous year due to injury, while the Jacks were young and should no doubt improve, but at the same time they lose their 2nd leading scorer and one of there best defenders/energy guys. As much talent as I believe the Jacks have on the roster, how much these young players develop is hard to predict, and for this reason, I'd have to go with the more proven Oral Roberts as my preseason favorite if I want to be objective. That said, I won't be in the least surprised if the Jacks win it, I just have less evidence supporting that theory.
The problem with choosing a preseason favorite is the conclusion is based mostly off information gathered from the previous season (win/lose record, returning players), with the rest being projection based off the affect of losing a player(s)' production has on the team, the ability of the current roster to pick up/exceed the lost production, and development of certain players on the current roster.
History generally is a safer bet than projections, as it means there are less questions going into the season. Oral Roberts has less questions going into the season because they basically return all their starters plus a productive player they lost early in the previous year due to injury, while the Jacks were young and should no doubt improve, but at the same time they lose their 2nd leading scorer and one of there best defenders/energy guys. As much talent as I believe the Jacks have on the roster, how much these young players develop is hard to predict, and for this reason, I'd have to go with the more proven Oral Roberts as my preseason favorite if I want to be objective. That said, I won't be in the least surprised if the Jacks win it, I just have less evidence supporting that theory.
Comment