Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

[JacksBacker]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

Delaware and Chatty are attractive with those lines. I'd look for both to win and cover against their respective opponents. I'd also take SEMO to win, but by about 4.

I also like Delaware at +4. I am unsure about Chattanooga, should be a good game but its tough to know at this point what kind of team JSU is, are they who they were week one or are they the typical JSU we are used to being a top 10 team? I dont know about SEMO either, 8.5 is quite a few points for 2 good teams, but its the Montana St. home opener, also known as the Gold Rush. The game should be a sellout crowd. Remember a couple years ago when a top ten Jackrabbit team went there and snuck out with a win vs, I believe an unranked and less talented Montana St. team. The Bobcats are a better team this year and I think they cover the 8.5 points.

[CappinHard]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

That is tempting. I may dabble. Possibly straight up and a tease with the Over at 56. To get Jacks -31.5 / Over 50 total points scored.
I see this being something like a 49-10 game.

I like that. It will be interesting to see how the weather plays into this game. For now it looks like it will definitely be raining. I don't think it will effect us much, as we'll be running the ball... a lot... I don't know what kind of offense they have. I see us going up by 28 early, trying to take our foot off the gas by just handing the ball off, and watching Pierre/Mikey/CJ break off long runs and winning by around 50 as long as our defense plays like they should.

[WestSideRabbit]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

I like that. It will be interesting to see how the weather plays into this game. For now it looks like it will definitely be raining. I don't think it will effect us much, as we'll be running the ball... a lot... I don't know what kind of offense they have. I see us going up by 28 early, trying to take our foot off the gas by just handing the ball off, and watching Pierre/Mikey/CJ break off long runs and winning by around 50 as long as our defense plays like they should.

Maybe you should read the preview...

[CappinHard]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

Maybe you should read the preview...

Lol, on it.

[JacksBacker]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

Here are some match-ups and lines for week three.

Saturday, Sept. 14th
NDSU -27.5 @ Delaware
EKU +11 @ Indiana St.
Duquesne +14.5 @ Youngstown St.
Drake +35 @ @ SDSU
Dayton -20 @ Robert Morris
Illinois St. -14 @ E. Illinios
Houston Baptist +28 @ USD
Montana St. -3 @ W. Illinois
Morgan St. +34 @ James Madison
E. Washington -14.5 @ Jacksonville St.
Sam Houston St. +7 @ UND
Villanova -26.5 @ Bucknell
Kennesaw St. -27.5 @ Alabama St.
Samford +7.5 @ Wofford
Colgate -9.5 @ William & Mary
Elon -2.5 @ Richmond
Abilene Christian +9.5 @ Cent. Ark.
Towson +4.5 @ Maine
Tenn. Martin +9.5 @ S. Illinois
Stephen F. Austin +7.5 @ S. Utah
Lehigh +37 @ UC Davis


Personally I like these plays:
Delaware +27.5
Illinois St. -14
Montana St. -3
Jacksonville St. +14.5

[Mr_Tibbs]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

Here are some match-ups and lines for week three.

Saturday, Sept. 14th
NDSU -27.5 @ Delaware
EKU +11 @ Indiana St.
Duquesne +14.5 @ Youngstown St.
Drake +35 @ @ SDSU
Dayton -20 @ Robert Morris
Illinois St. -14 @ E. Illinios
Houston Baptist +28 @ USD
Montana St. -3 @ W. Illinois
Morgan St. +34 @ James Madison
E. Washington -14.5 @ Jacksonville St.
Sam Houston St. +7 @ UND
Villanova -26.5 @ Bucknell
Kennesaw St. -27.5 @ Alabama St.
Samford +7.5 @ Wofford
Colgate -9.5 @ William & Mary
Elon -2.5 @ Richmond
Abilene Christian +9.5 @ Cent. Ark.
Towson +4.5 @ Maine
Tenn. Martin +9.5 @ S. Illinois
Stephen F. Austin +7.5 @ S. Utah
Lehigh +37 @ UC Davis


Personally I like these plays:
Delaware +27.5
Illinois St. -14
Montana St. -3
Jacksonville St. +14.5

Some interesting spreads there. I'd look for Delaware, Houston Baptist, EKU, and Duquesne to cover.

I think SHSU beats UND, Montana State wins easily over WIU, and EWU beats JSU in a surprisingly close game. I'm not sold on EWU this year (yet). Also, don't be shocked if that Houston Baptist game in the dome is closer than it would appear. They seem to be an improved squad, although there was nowhere to go but up. They played FBS UTEP real close in week 1. I know very little about the team, but if they can score fast and have a Defense that can pressure Simmons, who knows what may happen.

[JacksBacker]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

Saturday, Sept. 21st
Maine -10.5 @ Colgate
Penn +13 @ Delaware
Mercer +9.5 @ Furman
Duquesne PK @ Dayton
E. Illinois +17 @ Indiana St.
Kennesaw St. -14 @ Missouri St.
Norfolk St. +27 @ Montana St.
Monmouth +21.5 @ Montana
EWU -8.5 @ Idaho
UC Davis +25 @ NDSU
James Madison -21 @ Chattanooga
Tenn. Tech +17.5 @ W. Illinois
USD -5.5 @ N. Colorado
Harvard -5.5 @ San Diego
Idaho St. +14.5 @ UNI
Charleston So. +17.5 @ The Citadel
Rhode Island +2.5 @ New Hampshire
Villanova +4 @ Towson
McNeese St. +3.5 @ Abilene Christian
NWestern St. -3 @ Houston Baptist
North Alabama +21.5 @ Jacksonville St.
Southern Utah +28 @ SDSU
Nicholls St. -14 @ Stephen F. Austin
N. Arizona +10.5 @ Illinois St.
Austin Peay -4.5 @ E. Tenn. St.
Lamar +7.5 @ SELA

[GopherHole]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

I'm a little surprised that we have the biggest spread at 28 points on this list. I hope it's not a bad omen, but USD had a 28 point spread last week against Houston Baptist.

[JacksBacker]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

Saturday, Sept. 28th
E. Tenn. St. +16.5 @ Furman
Duquesne +6 @ New Hampshire
Wofford -13 @ VMI
James Madison -11 @ Elon
N. Arizona +10 @ Montana St.
The Citidel +3.5 @ Samford
Jacksonville St. -5.5 @ Austin Peay
Idaho -11 @ N. Colorado
Maine +7 @ Villlanova
Montana +7 @ UC Davis
Tenn. Tech +3.5 @ E. Illinois
UND +8.5 @ EWU
Portland St. +4 @ Idaho St.
Tenn. St. +7.5 @ EKU
Robert Morris +23.5 @ Youngstown St.
Stony Brook -1.5 @ Rhode Island
Nicholls St. -2 @ (FBS) Texas St.
Sam Houston St. -4.5 @ McNeese St.
SELA -13.5 @ N'Western St.
Stephen F. Austin +9.5 @ Lamar
Abilene Christian +6.5 @ Incarnate Word
UNI +1.5 @ Weber St.
Cal Poly PK @ S. Utah

Some good match-ups this week. Im looking most forward to watching UNI @ Weber St.
Montana @ Davis and Maine @ Nova also look like they should be fun to watch.

[CappinHard]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

I don't understand Abilene Christian +6.5 @ Incarnate Word

I think UC Davis should be more than a 7 point favorite vs. Montana.

Surprised EWU is only -8.5 vs. UND.

[Mr_Tibbs]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

Saturday, Sept. 28th
E. Tenn. St. +16.5 @ Furman
Duquesne +6 @ New Hampshire
Wofford -13 @ VMI
James Madison -11 @ Elon
N. Arizona +10 @ Montana St.
The Citidel +3.5 @ Samford
Jacksonville St. -5.5 @ Austin Peay
Idaho -11 @ N. Colorado
Maine +7 @ Villlanova
Montana +7 @ UC Davis
Tenn. Tech +3.5 @ E. Illinois
UND +8.5 @ EWU
Portland St. +4 @ Idaho St.
Tenn. St. +7.5 @ EKU
Robert Morris +23.5 @ Youngstown St.
Stony Brook -1.5 @ Rhode Island
Nicholls St. -2 @ (FBS) Texas St.
Sam Houston St. -4.5 @ McNeese St.
SELA -13.5 @ N'Western St.
Stephen F. Austin +9.5 @ Lamar
Abilene Christian +6.5 @ Incarnate Word
UNI +1.5 @ Weber St.
Cal Poly PK @ S. Utah

Some good match-ups this week. Im looking most forward to watching UNI @ Weber St.
Montana @ Davis and Maine @ Nova also look like they should be fun to watch.

Lot of good match ups, but only one real notnoteworthy one in the Valley.

I like Weber to win by 2 scores against UNI. UNI is good, no doubt, but they haven't been great on the road in the non-conference this decade. Weber is high elevation and plays good D. I think UNI was really lucky to beat ISUo last week, and it'll catch up with them this week.

The JMU-Elon game is a biggy, even though Elon has looked just decent so far. Revenge game for both team since Elon upset JMU last season, and JMU stole the Elon coach in the off-season. JMU (much like SDSU) is riding a close P5 FBS loss and wins over relatively week teams. I'd say we don't really know how good JMU is yet, but this Saturday on the road agaibst a top 25 team will tell us something. I'd look for Elon to cover, but lose a close one.

I'm also intrigued by the NAU-MSU game. Northern looked pretty solid against ISUr, so I wouldn't be shocked if they pulled the upset.

Maine at Villinova is interesting. It's a good opportunity for Maine to pick up a quality win after getting blasted by Towson 2 weeks ago. And it's an opportunity for Nova to position themselves as a front runner in the CAA. At this point in the season, Nova has the best resume of all CAA teams in my opinion. If they pick up this win, I think they're a lock for a top 3 conference finish.

The Montana-Davis game is interesting. The griz had the Aggies soundly beat last year, but blew it in the 4th quarter at home. Davis is coming off a hard fought loss in Fargo and may be a little hungover. Davis needs this to start putting wins in the column, since a 2-3 start is going this leave little margin for error moving forward, no matter how talented this hey are. The Griz have wins over middle of the road FCS teams and an FBS loss. A win here and they're positioned to make a run for the playoffs. They still have a very tough schedule moving forward. I think Poly wins by two TDs, setting up Montana to be on the bubble heading into Cat-Griz in Bozeman in November.

[Roy]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

Snow possibility for NAU - MSU!

[Mr_Tibbs]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

I think the loser of the UNI-Weber game will be out of seed contention. If Weber loses, that'll be 3 losses (2 to FBS opponents) heading into Big Sky play, where it's highly unlikely they run the table. If UNI loses, they'd need to go 7-1 in the Valley to get a seed. In a 12 game schedule year, I don't think an 8-4 team is getting a seed, regardless of conference.

The Davis-Montana loser is also likely out of seed conversation, since it would be Davis' third loss and Montana has a brutal schedule going forward, leaving very little margin for error.

By my estimation, teams that are in a good spot for a seed, based on current record and remaining ganes, are as follows:

Really good position:
NDSU
Montana State (pretty easy schedule moving forward)
JMU
Nova
YSU ( I don't think YSU will get a seed, but they're 3-0 and set up well to finish with a good record if they can play well)

Decent position:
SDSU (must go 6-2 or better in Valley play, with a tough back half of the schedule.)
JSU (Easy schedule, but only one top 25 team left to play)
UCA (See JSU)
Furman (See JSU. Already have two losses to FBS schools, but may run the table in the SoCon.)
Towson
KSU (See JSU)
Nichols
SELA

Little margin for error:
UNI/Weber loser (See above)
Montana/Davis loser (See above)
Maine (if they lose to Nova)
EWU (Must win out to have a shot. Even then, they have a very easy schedule moving forward).
SEMO

The games this weekend might have big implications for seeding in November. It'll be interesting to see how it plays out.

[thumper_76]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

UNI/Weber is going to be interesting. Both teams have offenses that don’t produce much when faced with a good team. IMO both won’t have quite what it takes to get a seed when it’s all said and done to get a seed.

Watching the UNI game vs Iowa St it felt like their offense was held down because it was a FBS team. Watching them play Idaho St I’m not sure that was the case. Their O line isn’t very good IMO. They’re only averaging (if I remember correctly) like 70 yds rushing per game. Their offense seems to be predicated off of their qb using his athleticism to escape the rush and make plays. With his size and how much he has to scramble, I’d be extremely worried about him getting hurt once MVFC play starts for them if I was a UNI fan.

I don’t think Weber has the offense to hang with the upper Big Sky teams, their qbs are terrible from all accounts. They have a shot at a seed with how the Big Sky is set up though, with so many teams and being able to miss some top teams.


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[Mr_Tibbs]

Re: Other FCS Matchups / Betting Lines

UNI/Weber is going to be interesting. Both teams have offenses that don’t produce much when faced with a good team. IMO both won’t have quite what it takes to get a seed when it’s all said and done to get a seed.

Watching the UNI game vs Iowa St it felt like their offense was held down because it was a FBS team. Watching them play Idaho St I’m not sure that was the case. Their O line isn’t very good IMO. They’re only averaging (if I remember correctly) like 70 yds rushing per game. Their offense seems to be predicated off of their qb using his athleticism to escape the rush and make plays. With his size and how much he has to scramble, I’d be extremely worried about him getting hurt once MVFC play starts for them if I was a UNI fan.

I don’t think Weber has the offense to hang with the upper Big Sky teams, their qbs are terrible from all accounts. They have a shot at a seed with how the Big Sky is set up though, with so many teams and being able to miss some top teams.


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I also agree that UNI and Weber are probably not going to win enough games for seeds. But they'll be tough round 1 games in the postseason. UNI is always physical, but we should have beat them in the regular season in 17 and 18. In the 17 playoffs, we took it to them in round 2. I think they just game plan for us really well and frustrate our offense. We tend to save rings in playboy for NDSU to get an edge on them, but doing the same thing for UNI with some sort of "package" probably isn't a bad idea. I hate that when we play them, our O is responding to their D, and not the other way around.